Elon Musk's sports auto will collide with Earth

Cornelia Mascio
Febbraio 18, 2018

It is planned to be on an oval orbit around the Sun. While it is little complicated to regulate the car's future path with accuracy, scientists believe if run enough simulations, they can see which ultimate outcomes are most likely to occur.

In fact, the space-going vehicle with an astronaut-suited mannequin at the wheel may actually collide with our planet eventually, though the chances are fairly small and the time horizon far, far away, researchers found.

If you are interested on where the roadster is at present, you can use this website which gives live updates you to the second on where the auto is presently in orbit. The Roadster may also crash into planet Venus but the chance of this happening is just 2.5 percent. "The repeated encounters lead to a random walk that eventually causes close encounters with other terrestrial planets and the Sun".

"Each time it passes Earth, the auto will get a gravitational kick", says Dan Tamayo, a postdoctoral fellow at the University and co-author of the paper "Depending on the details of these encounters, the Tesla can be kicked onto a wider or smaller orbit, so it's random". The reason behind the possible collision is its "chaotic orbit" and the researchers say that the electric auto could steer into the Earth's orbit and end up crashing.

Indeed, the Tesla was still visible as a bright, moving dot (to the telescopes, that is) when the vehicle was 500,000 miles (800,000 kilometers) from Earth. With each of this flybys past Earth and other bodies in space, the car's orbit is perturbed and becomes more hard to predict. For that, they ran a computer simulation 240 times to analyze how Tesla roadster's orbit would evolve over the course of 3.5 million years. "Over time the orbit will undergo what's called a random walk, similar to the fluctuations we see in the stock market, that will allow it to wander the inner solar system".

Dr. Rein said that the roadster will be in space for several million years before it hits anything.

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