Tropical depression two forms over central tropical Atlantic: U.S. NHC

Rodiano Bonacci
Luglio 7, 2018

Tropical Depression Two (TD2) formed in the central Tropical Atlantic this morning.

Currently, the storm has maximum sustained winds of 50 miles an hour, and is moving to the west at 16 miles an hour. The storm is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday or Saturday, but should get shredded by strong wind shear before it reaches the islands, forecasters said. The center of the system is 1385 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Tropical storm watches were in place in Barbados, St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Saba and St. Eustatius, according to the hurricane center.

The hurricane center warns that "swells generated by the depression are expected to increase and affect portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic states this weekend". The area denoted in yellow east of the Caribbean Sea shows a concentrated area of t-storms associated with a small low pressure center. It appears that Fabio has reached its peak intensity with wind speeds of 110 miles per hour and its minimum pressure at 964 mb. More recently, a low level spin we've been tracking for several days near Bermuda managed to produce enough thunderstorm activity to be upgraded to a Tropical Depression on Friday afternoon off the North Carolina coast.

That's a big dip from their model in May, where they predicted there would be between 14 and 18 named storms on the eastern seaboard, seven of which would be hurricanes.

Tropical Storm Beryl has formed between west Africa and the Lesser Antilles, but is unlikely to survive as a tropical cyclone by the time it reaches the Lesser Antilles this weekend.

Meteorologist Domenica Davis said the first storm closer to the east side of the Atlantic has 40 percent of developing into a tropical cyclon. The most recent early-July storm was Claudette on July 13, 2015.

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