Lane rapidly strengthens to Category 2 hurricane

Rodiano Bonacci
Agosto 19, 2018

At 5pm Thursday HST (4am BST), Hurricane Lane was located about 1,540 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico, or 1,780 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.

He added: "Expect intensification at least into the weekend".

"A motion between west and west-northwest is expected during the entire forecast period, and Lane is forecast to cross into the central Pacific basin on Saturday", the NHC said.

Lane will approach the Hawaiian Islands region next week.

If Lane maintains a more westward trajectory like Hector did, it may pass far enough south of the islands to cause only showers, high surf and rip currents.

"Rapid strengthening is expected for the next 36 to 48 hours, and Lane is forecast to become a major hurricane by Saturday".

After the weekend, Lane is predicted to still be a major hurricane with sustained winds of 115mph. The 15-nmi-diameter eye remains quiet distinct and is embedded within a solid ring of cloud tops colder than -70 deg C. An average of the various intensity estimates from TAFB, SAB, and UW-CIMSS ADT and SATCON support increasing the intensity to 120 kt.

Hurricane Lane forecast track.

The storm was moving west at 16 miles per hour and packing 110 miles per hour maximum sustained winds. The official forecast track lies close to a blend of the HCCA, TVCE, and FSSE consensus models.

The storm is expected to weaken to a Category 1 (sustained winds of 74-95 mph) by Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center says.

Derek Wroe, forecaster with the National Weather Service in Honolulu, said: "Warm ocean water is the fuel for hurricanes". Although Lane could strengthen a little more before the prolonged weakening begins, the general intensity trend should be downward.

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