NOAA predicting mild winter in New England

Rodiano Bonacci
Ottobre 20, 2018

Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, says their forecast calls for above average temperatures and below average precipitation for both the Lower and Upper Peninsula.

Meanwhile, the southern-third of the US and much of the East Coast could be hunkering down for a wetter than normal December through January. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the US can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out.

Elsewhere in the country, the Pacific Northwest has a much greater likelihood of warmer temperatures this winter.

The Southeast, on the other hand, has equal chances of experiencing above-average, normal, or below-average temperatures.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

"Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the USA, and up into the Mid-Atlantic", NOAA said in a statement.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has released its Winter Outlook, which found that in December and February much of the United States will see above-average temperatures and that there's a 70 to 75 percent chance of El Nino developing.

Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the U.S., extending up into the Mid-Atlantic.

- Warmer-than-normal conditions are anticipated across much of the northern and western USA, with the greatest likelihood in Alaska and from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.

Drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas throughout Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains. The real teeth-chattering arrives mid-February especially in the following zones: "Northeast/New England, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southeast (yes, even the Southeast will be in the chill zone!)".

For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook. Snow forecasts are generally not easily predicated more than a week in advance. He also forecasted a warm winter, heavily based on weak snowfall in Siberia.

Even so, it's no time to ditch the shovels and heavy winter jackets, with NOAA warning that its forecast does not mean the winter of 2018-2019 will not feature major snowstorms. The next update will be available on November 15.

Altre relazioniGrafFiotech

Discuti questo articolo

Segui i nostri GIORNALE