GOP keeps Senate control for 2 more years, triumph for Trump

Remigio Civitarese
Novembre 8, 2018

But blue-collar voters and rural America embraced his aggressive talk and stances.

Democrats could derail Trump's legislative agenda for the next two years should they win control of the House.

But the Democrats' edge is narrow.

As Election Day unfolded, Democrats were increasingly confident, predicting they would pick up at least the 23 seats needed for a House majority on the strength of voter enthusiasm, robust fundraising and unusually fresh candidates.

House Democrats may not be able to push their bills into law, but they are certain to use their new majority - and the powers that go with it - to pursue a variety of investigations into Trump Cabinet members accused of misusing taxpayer funds; to subpoena Trump's tax returns and probe his business ties; to reopen the House inquiry into his campaign's link to Russian Federation during the 2016 campaign; and quite possibly pass articles of impeachment against the president, depending upon how big the Democratic majority is.

Democratic incumbents also prevailed in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Midwestern states that Trump carried narrowly two years ago. In the Senate, Republicans could still approve federal judges and Trump Supreme Court nominees, but if they want to get any big legislation done they're going to have to negotiate with Democrats in the House, and possibly a Speaker Nancy Pelosi. It wasn't clear what "leaks" he was referring to.

After knocking off a couple of Democratic incumbents so far, Republicans could not only defend but potentially increase their 51-seat majority as additional races are called throughout the night. But if the polls are wrong, it should induce more than a shoulder shrug from outlets that conduct them and the news media organizations that report on them. Like other Democrats across the country, Spanberger emphasized protecting people with pre-existing conditions from being denied coverage or charged more by insurers.

Gillum, the mayor of Tallahassee, was aiming to become the state's first African-American chief executive, and the intense and acrimonious race was marred by charges of racist campaign tactics.

In suburban areas where key House races were decided, female voters skewed significantly toward Democrats by a almost 10-point margin.

Thirty-six of the 50 U.S. states elect governors this year, including about 10 considered toss-ups.

The road to a House majority ran through two dozen suburban districts Hillary Clinton won in 2016.

Trump, the GOP's chief messenger, warned that significant Democratic victories would trigger devastating consequences.

Two races which are of particular interest are Georgia, where Democrat Stacey Abrams is seeking to become the first black woman to become governor of a U.S. state, and Florida, where Democrat Andrew Gillum is locked in a bitter battle with Republican and Trump acolyte Ron DeSantis.

After the surprising results in the 2016 presidential election, pundits are reluctant to make predictions.

Yet Trump's party will maintain Senate control for the next two years, at least.

Democratic Senate incumbents were up for re-election, for example, in North Dakota, Indiana, and Missouri - states Trump carried by nearly 25% on average two years ago.

Some hurt worse than others.

Their party had put high hopes in flipping the traditionally Republican Texas, but candidate Beto O'Rourke came up short against incumbent Senator Ted Cruz.

President Donald Trump points to a supporter during a rally at the International Air Response facility on October 19, 2018 in Mesa, Arizona.

"It's all fragile", he said on the call. Twenty-five percent described health care and immigration as the most important issues in the election.

"Even though I'm not on the ballot, in a certain way I am on the ballot", Mr Trump said during a tele-town hall meeting organised by his re-election campaign on Monday to encourage Republicans to get out and vote. That's a sure-fire formula for two years of legislative gridlock and positioning for the 2020 presidential and congressional elections.

Kobach had built a national profile as an advocate of tough immigration policies and strict voter photo ID laws. And in both cases, voters turned up to turf out long-standing Conservative governments - Stephen Harper in 2015 and Kim Campbell, who took over briefly for Brian Mulroney, 22 years earlier.

The president's current job approval, set at 40 percent by Gallup, was the lowest mark of any first-term president in the modern era.

But with turnout a key unknown factor and pollsters still unsure about the effect of Trump's maverick style on voters, both parties admit that they may be in for a surprise.

At the same time, Democrats re-elected embattled New Jersey Sen.

Said Warren: "This resistance began with women and it is being led by women tonight".

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