As peak hurricane season starts, NOAA predicts an above-average season

Rodiano Bonacci
Agosto 9, 2019

As well, the number of forecasted storms is higher with NOAA calling for 10 to 17 named storms with winds of 39 miles per hour (63 km/h) or greater, of which five to nine will become hurricanes reaching winds of 74 miles per hour (119 km/h) or greater.

Logan Courvlle pushes his bike through a flooded street after Hurricane Barry in Mandeville, Louisiana, U.S. July 13, 2019.

Hurricane season officially lasts from June 1 to November 30, with peak season starting in August and ending in October, according to NOAA. Florence set a record for the costliest storm to hit the Carolinas.

The Atlantic experiences 12 named storms and six hurricanes in an average season, of which three become major hurricanes.

"Though the hurricane season is starting off slow, as in 2004, the folks in Gulf Shores will remember what happened in mid-September that year".

But as the ocean temperature is linked to the wind currents, this causes the winds to grow weaker still and so the ocean grows warmer, meaning the El Niño grows.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has increased the probability for a more active hurricane season from the 30% that was predicted in May, to a 45% chance of an above normal hurricane season. This outlook does not attempt to show how many of these storms will impact land or the United States.

"Today's updated outlook is a reminder to be prepared", Pete Gaynor, the Federal Emergency Management Agency's acting administrator, said in a statement.

Bell said long-term climate patterns, like global warming, also are dwarfed in a short-term seasonal outlook by other atmospheric factors.

"Just because it's a near-normal year doesn't mean we don't need to prepare", Pfaff said following May's forecast, according to the Charlotte Observer. Researchers predict 14 total named storms, seven total hurricanes and two total major hurricanes.

The Department of Homeland Security says it is particularly important to be prepared for flooding if you live in an area that is close to water, including in regions close to a stream, river, culvert or ocean, or if you live downstream from a levee or dam. She attended the University of Florida.

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